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TEAM predictions

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Division Winner

Buffalo - 12-5

2026 Power Rank: 5th    2025 DVOA: 8th     2026 Schedule: 14th    2026 O-Line: 8th   Offseason: 5th

The best AFC team since 2000 for consistent winning, where the defense gave up 25 points per playoff game dooming Super Bowl dreams. In '25 their 12th best regular season D gave up 28.5 in the playoffs. The top-3 offense will carry them deep in the playoffs if new DC Leonard succeeds. He must take advantage of underperforming D-Line littered with top draft picks. 8th in DVOA ('25), 8th best O-Line & average '26 schedule strength. A great team but we fear the new coach factor where only two first-time coaches have ever won the Super Bowl. 

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2nd Place Finish

New England - 10-7

2026 Power Rank: 7th     2025 DVOA: 9th     2026 Schedule: 2nd    2026 O-Line: 14th   Offseason: 6th

A shocking 14-3 '25 will be hard to repeat as the easiest schedule since 1970 aided them. Now a 1st place schedule. The defense is solid. The QB ascending quickly. They have improved the WR room with Brown & Doubs. RB Henderson is explosive & a budding star. The offensive line is the significant weakness with LT Campbell struggling & G Wilson moving to Center. This well coached outfit is very good & young. They will be a tough playoff out as a Wild Card team if they navigate past the Bengals, Chargers, Broncos, Chiefs for a playoff spot. 

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3rd Place Finish

New York - 6-11

2026 Power Rank: 28th    2025 DVOA: 32nd    2026 Schedule: 5th   2026 O-Line: 19th   Offseason: 2nd

Coach Glenn led a QB-less 3-win '25 disaster with an NFL low -203 point differential & league worst DVOA. New QB Smith is a risky Hail Mary that he returns to 2024 glory. Signed decent G  Parham to what we think is a decent, underrated O-Line. We graded them 'B' in free agency acquiring Safeties Fitzpatrick & tackle king Belton, DE Ossai, Edge Enagbare & vet leader LB Davis on D; traded for DT Sweat. Their draft was spectacular, a rare 'A++' nabbing value with DE Bailey, TE Sadiq & CB Ponds in the 1st. Good core, bet them over 5 1/2 wins. 

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4th Place Finish

Miami 2-15

2026 Power Rank: 32nd     2025 DVOA: 24th    2026 Schedule: 31st    2026 O-Line: 31st   Offseason: 27th 

7 wins masked a paltry #24 DVOA efficiency rank. The new coach Hafley & new GM began a complete overhaul moving on from WR Hill, QB Tua, S Fitzpatrick & most other vets. Only star RB Achane is recognizable on this 2nd-string looking roster. New QB Willis is a massive risk. He played well in Green Bay, but this is not Green Bay. He'll struggle around this talent deprived rebuilding group. We see little to like here. We bet them 4-1 to have the worst NFL record with only lowly Arizona in the way of this cashing. 

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