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TEAM predictions

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Division Winner

Baltimore - 12-5

2026 Power Rank: 2nd    2025 DVOA: 13th    2026 Schedule: 2nd   2026 O-Line: 22nd   Offseason: 2nd

Harbaugh's legacy will be hard to follow for new Coach Minter to follow but the 8 win '25 season & 24th most yards allowed won't be as Minter is a D master. if the 22nd ranked O-Line improves so will their surprising 2oth PPG disappointment. Free agent losses are significant such as C Lindebaum, but 1st round pick G Leone will help as will pass rush stud Hendrickson. 12 wins is attainable with the 6th easiest schedule but we sense another early playoff exit under the new coach where adjusting to new systems & players can take time .

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2nd Place Finish

Cincinnati - 11-6

2026 Power Rank: 14th    2025 DVOA: 21st    2026 Schedule: 3rd   2026 O-Line: 27th   Offseason: 15th

Having the 31st ranked D, last in run D is not a recipe for NFL success & that led to a 6-11, -78 point differential season. But top-4 QB Burrow missed 10 games. If he is healthy the offense is top notch. On defense the Bengals went all in adding free agent quality in DT's Allen & Lawrence, DE Mafe, & S Cook. The LB's remain weak but if the upgraded D on paper can rise to middle of the pack this team should win 11 games and be a major playoff threat. We bet them to be in the Super Bowl against the Rams at 57-1 odds. 

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3rd Place Finish

Pittsburgh - 8-9

2026 Power Rank: 23rd    2025 DVOA: 12th    2026 Schedule: 18th   2026 O-Line: 20th   Offseason: 9th

The Steelers 10-7 division champ season masks some issues, like their 7th most YPG on D & 25th YPG offense & a paltry +10 point differential. 7-3 in 1-score games saved them, but is statistically unlikely to repeat. The high-end draft pick O-Line has not produced and we can't fathom the facination with QB Rodgers where we think they should be trying out their young QB's with a bent for the future. WR Pittman makes a good mate for WR Metcalf, but Rodgers is no longer a Super Bowl caliber QB. They must stop chasing mediocrity.

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4th Place Finish

Cleveland - 5-12

2026 Power Rank: 27th    2025 DVOA: 30th    2026 Schedule: 4th   2026 O-Line: 32nd   Offseason: 6th

Coach Monken must find a QB & maybe Watson rebounds to former glory with new top draft pick WR's Concepcion/Boston, joining Jeudy as a promising unit. But the offensive line, even after being overhauled didn't improve, ranked dead last for '26. Their recent offseasons have been top notch, ranking 6th for '26. Last years' top 5 pick trade to land DT Graham & this years' Garrett for Verse & high draft picks were genius for a rebuilding team. There is a core to build off here given the draft capital, but for now, even the 4th easiest schedule can't save them. 

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