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TEAM predictions

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Division Winner

Denver - 11-6

2026 Power Rank: 3rd     2025 DVOA: 7th     2026 Schedule: 11th   2026 O-Line: 1st   Offseason: 22nd

Despite cap issues Payton navigated the Broncos to 24-10 in 2 years & were a fluke Nix injury from the Super Bowl in '25. 3rd in our '26 Power Ratings this is a solid team with a top D & O-Line. Nix is the question mark. He must elevate to get past rebound teams like the Chiefs, Bengals & Ravens. Then there is the strong Texans, Chargers, Bills & Patriots. Adding Waddle at WR is a big deal. With a manageable schedule (11th), if you think Nix will be healthy off his ankle injury & will be above average, they are a decent Super Bowl winner bet at 20-1.

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2nd Place Finish

Los Angeles - 11-6

2026 Power Rank: 10th    2025 DVOA: 17th    2026 Schedule: 21st   2026 O-Line: 12th   Offseason: 18th

Harbaugh's two 11-win seasons is vast improvement for the Chargers & the '25 season was without both All-Pro Tackles. With both back the O-Line should be better despite the season ending injury to FA C Biadasz. Adding a top 5 OC in McDaniel will elevate this already 12th ranked rush attack. QB Herbert gets a bad rap behind a banged-up line as he is underrated. WR's are weak beyond star McConkey. The defense was effective, #9 in scoring, but losing DC Minter is a major blow. We like them over 9 1/2 wins despite the 12th toughest schedule but are concerned about them winning road playoff games in cold weather. 

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3rd Place Finish

Kansas City 10-7

2026 Power Rank: 11th    2025 DVOA: 15th    2026 Schedule: 10th   2026 O-Line: 16th   Offseason: 22nd

The Chiefs are a hard team to handicap with Mahomes off an injury & issues at WR. Maybe Nagy's departure & the return of OC Bieniemy is the answer. The O-Line has regressed but we think 2nd-year LT Simmons should improve on a good rookie season albeit we are concerned at RT with overpaid Moore. At WR, Rice remains troublesome off the field so Worthy must elevate. The D continues to lose talent but was still 6th in PPG in '25. We are cautiously optomistic as this well coached team could elevate to 2026 Super Bowl status.

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4th Place Finish

Las Vegas - 5-12

2026 Power Rank: 29th    2025 DVOA: 31st   2026 Schedule: 19th   2026 O-Line: 20th   Offseason: 1st

New coach Kubiak has his hands full despite #1 pick QB Mendoza. C Lindebaum is a solid O-Line addition (overpaid as he may be) to quality LT Miller. But the line is still ranked 20th which threatens a rookie QB in his 1st year. Their 25th ranked '25 D adds quality LB's Dean & Walker but we are skeptical highly paid additions at that position raises the D quality enough to be competitive. We expect RB Jeanty to have a breakout season after ranking 18th in yards rushing but a dismal 45th  in YPC. Brock Bowers is a major star & we think best TE in the game.    

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